Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. dr ali binazir odds of being born - manoharinternational.com Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. In 1943, the distinguished French mathematician mile Borel developed a law about probabilities that stated events with a sufficiently small probability never occur (Institute of Mathematical Statistics). You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. Are You Totally Improbable Or Totally Inevitable? This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Think of how strong our ancestors had to be to allow us to eat a sandwich or sing Happy Birthday. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? In other words, when seen in the aggregate, that probability is simply stating that it is very hard to predict _who_ will exist and not that someone will. Which one's bigger? As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. Step 4. The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born Its maddening to see people worry so much. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). dr ali binazir odds of being born - sindicaturarosarito.gob.mx That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. Heres a thought experiment to help illustrate the unbelievably huge size of these numbers. It turns out that when taking into account the astonishing number of possibilities of parents meeting, grandparents meeting before them, and so on going back generations, and then adding the vast number of sperm and ova in possible combinations over decades of the marital act in all those generations, the odds of me existing just as I do are about 1 in 10. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" So whats the probability of your existing? Why? He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. Want to Read. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Now things start getting interesting. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Dr. Ali Binazir | TheCarolinaCowboy In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? It seems like wasting our precious lives on self pity or addiction is even less attractive, in this light. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. And worry and fear? First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. He attended the Ted Talk and wrote about it afterward, doing his own calculations on how likely your existence is. The chances of your specific sperm meeting your specific egg? If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? They look like this , or this, and have to be avoided at all costs. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). Some of the numbers are approximations, but generally they are on the conservative side. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in two. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. When expanded it provides a list of search options that will switch the search inputs to match the current selection. You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. dr ali binazir odds of being born - mashroubs.com (This is also known as consulting especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. They agree to within a factor of two! mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? But, doesnt that seem a bit low? Love and the empowered woman: Dr. Ali Binazir at TEDxFiDiWomen Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. On one try. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Not quite ready yet To become their Destiny, it pushed them close, drove them apart, it barred their path,stifling a laugh,and then leaped aside. Dr. Ali Binazir - Something To Prove Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. Are You a Miracle? 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. Dr. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. Hello there! They each roll the dice and they all come up with. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. But let's think about this some more. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Or could they be underestimates of the true number? You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Its like winning a free ticket to the the best party in the world. The perfect deal in bridge is that each player receives all the cards in one suit. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Just go have some fucking fun! What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. But lets make it longer. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Think of yourself as dead. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Something was dropped and then picked up. In a 2011 HuffPost article, he set about calculating the likelihood of each of us being born. What are the odds of that? Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. Are You a Miracle? On the Probability of Your Being Born Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. Check out my course, The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough at the top of the page. Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Thats a ridiculously huge number. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Or stalk me (with love.). Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. God has always known us, intended us, loved us, and planned for us. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. To say that we are contingent beings is a vast understatement. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. You get the volume of planet Earth. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. The Probability of You Existing at All Is Unbelievably Low Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. I hope you use your chance well. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Same to all of us. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. A fertile woman has about 100,000 viable eggs while a man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. dr ali binazir odds of being born - dura-fog.com Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. saving. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again.
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